DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 030849 DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0249 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA MTNS AND COASTAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY SATURDAY WILL ROUND THE BASE OF A LARGER SCALE TROUGH AND MOVE INTO W TX BY MONDAY MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...AN UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE WILL FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE AND MOVE SWD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN INTO AZ. IN THE LOW LEVELS...AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN INVOF THE CA COASTLINE WITH EPISODIC ENHANCEMENTS TO OFFSHORE FLOW EXPECTED ACROSS SRN CA--LEADING TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ...PORTIONS OF SRN CA MTNS AND COASTAL AREAS... MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT BECOMING SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKER BY LATE MORNING AS WINDS TEMPER IN INTENSITY. AS SUCH...STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS /SUSTAINED 20-35 MPH/ ARE EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS DECREASE IN SPEED DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER AZ MOVES EWD OVER NRN MEXICO AND SWRN NM. A RENEWED RISK OF STRONG WINDS IS EXPECTED EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE NEXT SPEED MAX DIVING SWD INTO THE SWRN U.S. DESERTS. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG NELY/S DEVELOPING IN THE 8Z-12Z PERIOD MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH TEMPS WILL NOT BE AS WARM AS THE PREVIOUS NIGHTS...MIN RH WILL PROBABLY TO FALL INTO THE MID TEENS. ..SMITH.. 12/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)